Damned statistics or…?

I don’t want to speckle my posts with numbers but £31 billion is a lot of money. That’s the amount they guess (yes guess!) will be spent on the nuclear submarine replacements.

Just before the vote in 2016 was passed in Westminster to continue this madness, Rob Edwards published information about a report to the Treasury a Cabinet Office from IPA (Infrastructure and Projects Authority) indicating costs are likely to be much more.

Do you think if a project is given a red rating, it’s a no-go?  The submarine successor programme was allocated amber/red. Page 25 of IPA report  tells you that designation means success is in doubt (due to cost overruns, management problems and technical difficulties?)  Some folk say the costs have risen by between £15 – £20 billion. The date has been pushed back from 2024 to “early 2030s”,  yet another guesstimate.

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Back Again

Not been posting for a long time and feel it’s time to start again. There’s a lot of information sloshing about on the web. Some good and some…dire. This is a mini-post to try and justify why I’m starting to write again. I guess it’s because I’ve so many ideas bouncing around in my head it might be good to get them pinned down and make some sense of them.

Fracking

British Geological Society video says that there are few peer reviewed studies.
Guess that video was made before a lot of these were published.

Fracking Research: Peer-Reviewed Published Studies …
nodrilling.wordpress.com/fracking/fracking-research-peer-reviewed-published-studies-independent-expert-opinions/
Fracking Research: Peer-Reviewed Published Studies & Independent Expert Opinions. Prof Avner Vengosh, Duke University presenting at Mangatu Marae, …

One More Sleep

It’s like the night before Christmas and I’m worried I won’t get to sleep cos of the excitement.
A few others think the same perhaps according to
Scotref twitter trendmap:
http://trendsmap.com/v2/Lf62/w

What will it be? A shiny sticker saying Hands off NHS (the Scottish logo of course) or a big space in Faslane / Coulport where the weapons of mass destruction are moving out?

There’s a big shed up north where the not so toxic nuclear waste is being buried and still a stream of the stuff heading south to a place so poisonous they had to change its name. (give you a clue – they cull pigeons and deer who get too close)

Across the Forth sad wee submarines in Rosyth wait for decommissioning as soon as Babcock can agree with the local authority about how to do it safely. (I’ve read the scientific report about cracks in fuel rods that concludes with the startling insight …more research is needed to understand why cracks occur)

Perhaps my pressie will be a government that can actually tell me the price of dealing with the ever accumulating nuclear waste and explain why the costs continue to spiral.

Maybe my pressie won’t ever be noticeable. You wouldn’t notice the earthquakes that didn’t happen, the clean water that wasn’t poisoned and the fresh air that didn’t threaten your health – all because fracking is off the menu.

Maybe my present will be 100,000 children who don’t move into poverty by 2020? Or the gap between rich and poor will reverse and start to narrow?

Perhaps it will just be a constitution, or a share in an oil fund – knowing that future generations will benefit. Perhaps it will be a sense of responsibility, knowing that it’s up to me as part of this nation to make it a place of justice and opportunity.

Maybe it’s being a part of an excited and energised population – creative and enthusiastic about the opportunities that are opening up.

Growth in the food and drink industry, farmers and fishers who get a say in the EU, ships built on the Clyde to protect the northern shores, silicon glen and its potential, Highlands and Islands recognised for their geographic challenges and potential…and wave wind and tidal renewable energy plus the opportunity to chat to Iceland about their plans for a cable linking geothermal energy …and all the things we haven’t even begun to think about yet cos we were sapped by depression thinking we couldn’t change anything.

Oooh I’m excited.
One more sleep.

Looks like Santa ain’t coming.

Infrastructure is important…

…for all sorts of reasons outlined in the Government’s Infrastructure Plan published by the UK Treasury.

I don’t understand why London isn’t in the chart on page 30. (Which I can’t copy in its original form.)

Chart 2.E: Regional projects and programmes by capital value
£ million
East Midlands – 2000
East of England – just under 6000
North East ) – just over 2000
North West – nearly 8000
South East – topping out the 10,000 figure
South West – a whopping 19,000 (nearly?) figure going close to the 20,000 at the top of the chart – will that be because of building a nuclear reactor or helping out with HS2 I wonder?
West Midlands and Yorkshire & the Humber both 3000 ish

Source: HM Treasury Major Infrastructure Tracking unit

So where was London? Doesn’t it get a slice of the pie? Nope. It gets a pie chart all to itself showing how the £36,000 million it receives is being divvied up. Ahhh…the 36,000 wouldn’t have fitted in to the other chart.

Apparently “successive Governments have failed to invest sufficiently in the UK’s infrastructure”

Ed Cox, from the IPPR, tweeted that the per capita spending on transport infrastructure comes out at: south-west £215, north-east £246, Yorkshire and Humberside £303, north-west £839,
London? £4895.

Doesn’t that seem a tad unfair on regions which cover a greater geographical area? ie everywhere else.

Where would you like to live?

A TUC report points out an area with affordable houses – Copeland – according to the Guardian newspaper, the one local authority in England where average house price is less than three times the average annual salary.

Big difference from 1997 – 72 local authorities had average prices within easy reach of local homebuyers.

And there are plenty jobs to be had in nearby Sellafield. It’s a compassionate place.

Concern for the deer that got too close to Sellafield was so great that they shot them to save them distress.http://www.newsnorthwest.org.uk/three-deer-shot-dead-as-sellafield-carries-out-cull

Are we in the EU?

Ben Acheson writing in the Huffington Post

“It’s easy to get bogged down in what this all means, but the overriding point is that joining the EU isn’t easy. Unanimity will be particularly troublesome for Scotland, as some member states may wish to quell their own separatist movements who would be buoyed by a Yes vote. They need to ensure that Scotland does not come out of the negotiations with a good deal.”

Em…Silly me. I thought European Union meant working together for mutual benefit. I should have realised it is a competition.

Then there’s that tiresome problem – having been in the UNION since 1973, how on earth is Scotland going to manage to conform to all its requirements? Yikes!

What happens after the UK referendum to leave Europe?